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Risk & Due Diligence

How to Evaluate an Operator

The Learning Library
Risk & Due Diligence
10 min read

In a direct oil and gas investment, you are not really betting on a rock — you are betting on the people who drill and run the well. The operator is the single most important variable in the outcome, and yet it is the one investors scrutinize least. This guide is a framework for due diligence on the operator.

Why the operator is everything

Two operators can drill the same formation, on adjacent acreage, with wildly different results. One brings wells in on budget, completes them skillfully, runs them efficiently, and reports honestly. The other overruns the AFE, cuts corners on completion, lets operating costs balloon, and is opaque with partners. The geology was identical; the outcome was not. When you commit to a working interest or a sponsored program, you are hiring a team, evaluate them like one.

Track record

Start with history. A credible operator can show you the wells they have drilled, in the basins they claim to know, with results you can verify against public production data. Be specific:

  • How many wells have they operated, and over how many years?
  • In this specific basin and formation, or somewhere else entirely?
  • How did actual production compare to the projections they showed prior investors?
  • How did actual costs compare to the AFEs they circulated?
  • Have they operated through a full price cycle, including a downturn?
Verify, don't trust

Much oil and gas production data is public through state regulatory agencies. A serious investor, or their advisor, can pull an operator's historical wells and compare reported results against the story being told. An operator who resists this kind of verification is telling you something.

Financial strength

Drilling is capital-intensive and cost overruns are common. An operator without financial cushion can stall a project mid-development, fail to fund its share of a well, or cut operational corners to conserve cash. Ask about the balance sheet, the debt load, and whether the operator has the capital to finish what it starts and to weather a period of low prices. Insolvency of your operator is one of the structural risks that can impair an otherwise good asset.

Alignment of interests

The best operators invest their own capital alongside yours and earn primarily when you earn. Scrutinize how the operator is compensated. Heavy up-front fees and promotes that pay the sponsor regardless of well performance create misaligned incentives. A meaningful co-investment and a structure where the operator's largest rewards come from production success are signs that your interests and theirs point the same direction.

SignalReassuringConcerning
Track recordVerifiable wells in the same basinVague claims, no public data
FeesModest, performance-weightedLarge up-front, paid regardless of results
Co-investmentOperator has real skin in the gameOperator risks none of its own capital
TransparencyDetailed reporting, answers hard questionsEvasive, slow, or selective with information

Transparency and reporting

Once you are an owner, the operator controls your information. How and how often do they report production, expenses, and distributions? Will they share the AFE and actuals? Do they answer pointed questions directly, or deflect? The quality of communication you experience during due diligence is usually the best you will ever get. It rarely improves after they have your money.

Pressure is a red flag

OilClarity's entire premise is that good decisions are unhurried. An operator or promoter who creates artificial urgency, a closing deadline, a “last allocation,” pressure to commit before you have done your diligence, is working against your interests. Walk away from urgency.

Questions to ask before you commit

  1. 1Show me your last several wells in this basin and the production data to verify them.
  2. 2How did those wells perform against the projections you gave prior investors?
  3. 3How are you compensated, and how much of your own capital is in this deal?
  4. 4What happens if costs exceed the AFE, who funds the overrun?
  5. 5How and how often will I receive production and expense reporting?
  6. 6What is your plan, and your balance sheet, if commodity prices fall by half?

Diligence the operator harder than you diligence the geology. The rock cannot lie to you. The people can.